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2024-12-13 12:00:30

The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.I just want to tell you about the direction. At present, the two leading companies in Gaobiao are food and robots. I have said these two directions many times in the article, especially in the article on December 2, which highlighted the robot, but the short-term stagflation in these two directions is a bit, so be careful to catch up with the risk.Finally, to sum up, the nature of the main rise of the three waves in the market has not changed. After the short-term breakthrough on the upper rail of the triangle, if it continues to fluctuate and climb, the market will be simpler. Now an expectation has directly played an old drama with a high opening and a low walking, and the mood is under pressure. It is estimated that this is another small high point.


There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.Generally speaking, I have been trying to adjust positions around the direction of new quality productivity recently. After this wave of short-term stepping back, there is a high probability that a new and old cycle will be switched. I won't chase after the high price, so I'd better do my own business quietly!


After all, the plate effect is too bad. It is basically a local market in which funds revolve around individual stocks. Many of the daily limit of 100 stocks have not changed hands. If you want to pull money, you can pull it. If you want to smash it, it's too difficult to participate, but it's really hard to make money.Therefore, after the short-term shock consolidation, when it breaks through 3500 points again, it should have the foundation for acceleration. I would like to remind you that there is no basis for a sharp drop here. No matter the meeting expectation or the tone of maintaining stability, it is impossible for it to continue to get out of control and cause financial risks here.A high opening directly fills all the space and expectations, so at this time, relying solely on retail investors to lift the sedan chair, it must be a pattern of high opening and low walking. After all, domestic institutions have run more than 120 billion in the past two days, and foreign capital has basically not returned to A shares in this way. It is normal that the market cannot be promoted.

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